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GENFI · FORENSICS

INDEX/$SLND · 2026-09-29

$SLND

$0.61−7.46%

Southland Holdings, Inc. · NYSE American · mkt cap $33.21M at basis · cash $34.9M (6/30); est $43–48M at cutoff (VERIFY) · O/S 54,435,257 (10-Q cover 8/4/26; pro forma 54,505,321)

Cutoff 2026-09-29 09:30 ET

SOLVENCY + DELISTING ALERT — SURETY-FUNDED BALANCE SHEET, CONTRACT-PR SPIKE

RATINGS

  • OVERALLHIGH
  • OVERHEADMED→HIGH
  • DILUTIONLOW→HIGH
  • DIL. FREQLOW
  • OFFERINGLOW→MED
  • CASH NEEDHIGH
  • COMPLIANCEHIGH
  • BANKERMED

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THREE FINDINGS

  1. 01A $71M contract PR, not a rescue

    Sep 29 07:00 ET Business Wire: $71M water pipeline award, client unnamed. 75.7M shares traded pre-market by 07:52 ET vs ~100k normal. Jul 17's +67% contract pop was gone within 4 sessions; 3 of 4 own prior spikes closed below the event close within 3 sessions.

  2. 02Liabilities exceed assets by $248.2M

    NYSE American 1003(a) notice (8-K Sep 25). Plan due Oct 23 2026, cure by Mar 23 2028. Sureties carry $298.9M of payables under a standstill to Aug 13 2027; Sep 30 $150.86M preferred can never become common.

  3. 03Company can print little; holders haven't sold

    Baby shelf caps issuer sales at ~$3.66M; no ATM/ELOC/PIPE. Insiders own 73.5% and their 39.28M registered shares are legally sellable but untouched since 2023. Real overhang is a creditor-led recap, not a registered dump (OPINION).

SUPPLY

O/S

54,435,257

10-Q cover 8/4/26; pro forma 54,505,321 (VERIFY)

Baby-shelf capacity

~$3.66M ≈ 6.0M sh

Unused $150M S-3 333-278008; I.B.6 cap; expires ~Apr 8 2027

ATM / ELOC / PIPE

None

No agreement on file at cutoff

Public warrants

14,385,500

$11.50 strike, exp 2028-02-14 — deep OTM, economics only

Sep 30 surety preferred

$150.86M

Senior, non-convertible — 0 common; likely mezzanine (VERIFY)

Non-insider float

14.42M (26.5%)

~$8.8M at basis; freely tradable

Registered affiliate shares

39.28M

Resale S-3 333-285578 EFFECT; no volume cap; no sales since 2023

Rule 144-only affiliate

0.80M

Volume-capped; realistic sellers ~9.8M (OPINION)

COMPLIANCE CLOCK

  1. 2026-09-30

    Surety preferred + Liberty $5M

    $150.86M senior preferred (no common); Liberty settlement payment (VERIFY)

  2. 2026-10-23

    NYSE American plan due

    1003(a)(i)/(ii) — equity −$248.2M vs $2M/$4M thresholds

  3. 2027-07-01

    $0.25 minimum-price rule

    One close below $0.25 = suspension; 49 straight closes <$1

  4. 2027-08-13

    Surety standstill ends

    $298.9M surety payables

  5. 2028-03-23

    Cure deadline

    ~$540M of equity needed at current loss pace

NEXT WATCH

  • Sep 30 2026 surety preferred closing + Liberty $5M payment
  • Oct 23 2026 compliance plan submission
  • ~Nov 16 2026 Q3 10-Q (Liberty gain, cash)
  • ~Apr 8 2027 S-3 shelf expiry
  • Jul 1 2027 $0.25 minimum-price rule

Internal research only — not investment advice. NOT a retail broker. Cutoff 2026-09-29 09:30 ET. Source files: HTML dossier, 1-pager, social pack, and PDF linked in VIEW. Do not treat this console as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell securities.